“Today, Those Myths Are Collapsing.” Jowelle Michel Howayeck on the Psychological Shift Reshaping the Middle East — and Why Lebanon Can No Longer Afford to Be Left Behind
For decades, the region ran on myths — of armed movements as protectors, of slogans as substitutes for sovereignty. Now, exhausted populations are asking questions that were once unspeakable. The transformation, Howayeck argues, is not diplomatic. It is psychological. And once it starts, it cannot be reversed.
Not policies. Not institutions. Not functioning states.
But myths.
For years, the region survived on myths. Not policies, not institutions, not functioning states, but myths. The myth that endless war creates strength. The myth that armed movements protect nations better than national armies. The myth that economies can collapse, populations can emigrate, and institutions can disintegrate while slogans somehow compensate for reality.
Today, those myths are collapsing.
Slowly, unevenly, and often behind closed doors, the Middle East is entering a different era. An era where survival itself is becoming more important than ideological theater. Where governments increasingly understand that regional stability is not a luxury but a condition for economic and political survival.
This is why the old rhetoric no longer mobilizes people the way it once did. Entire generations grew up hearing promises of liberation, dignity, and victory while watching their currencies collapse, their universities empty, and their futures disappear at airports.
Lebanon embodies this tragedy more than anywhere else. For decades, the country was held hostage by the idea that permanent confrontation was somehow a national strategy. Every discussion about sovereignty, neutrality, economic reform, or state monopoly over arms was immediately framed as betrayal. Meanwhile, the actual betrayal was happening in plain sight: the systematic erosion of the Lebanese state itself.
The irony is that those who claim to defend Lebanon the most are often the ones who prevented it from becoming a normal country. A functioning judiciary became impossible because accountability threatened political protection networks.
A serious economy became impossible because sanctions, instability, and regional entanglements scared away investment. A sovereign state became impossible because sovereign decisions were never fully allowed to exist.
And yet, despite the fear, the intimidation, and the exhaustion, the political mood is shifting. Many Lebanese — including within communities historically attached to the language of resistance — increasingly understand that endless wars do not build nations. They destroy them.
This does not mean the region is suddenly becoming peaceful or enlightened. Far from it. The forces invested in chaos remain deeply entrenched. Entire political systems were built around conflict economies and ideological mobilization. For some actors, peace is dangerous precisely because it threatens their relevance.
But history has a brutal way of forcing adaptation. Small countries do not survive by behaving like empires. Lebanon especially cannot continue functioning as an open battlefield for regional projects while expecting stability, prosperity, or international support.
The real transformation underway in the region is not diplomatic. It is psychological. People are beginning to lose their fear of questioning the old formulas. And once that process starts, it becomes very difficult to reverse.
The myth that endless war creates strength is collapsing.
The myth that armed movements protect nations better than national armies is collapsing.
The myth that slogans can somehow compensate for reality — is collapsing.
The real transformation is not diplomatic. It is psychological. And once that process starts, it becomes very difficult to reverse.
— Jowelle Michel Howayeck | جوال ميشال الحويك
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